Tulevaisuusajattelun periaatteet ja ennakointimenetelmätLaajuus (2 op)

Osaamistavoitteet

Opetus järjestetään englanniksi, katso kuvaus englanninkielisestä käyttöliittymästä.

Sisältö

Concepts of futures, forecasting and foresight. Possible, plausible, probable, and preferable futures. Futures awareness and futures consciousness and their dimensions. Futures table, futures wheel, scenarios, Delphi, backcasting, and horizon scanning as futures methods.  

Oppimateriaalit

Hines A, Bengston DN, Dockry MJ, Cowart A. Setting up a horizon scanning system: A U.S. federal agency example. World Futures Review. 2018;10(2):136–151.   Online videos, other online study material. 

Lisätiedot

Campus: Joensuu

Toteutustavat

Lecture (5%), facilitated exercise (10%), online videos (20%), readings (25%), essay (40%). Grading scale 0-5

Suoritustavat

An introductory lecture at the beginning of the course. Obligatory participation in a facilitated scenario exercise. Individual work: watching online videos, reading literature, and writing one essay, which is evaluated for the grade. Evaluation criteria: conceptual clarity, analytical and critical pondering.